Map growing
Uncertainty and agency
A field map for acting with awareness when outcomes, other people, and surrounding systems cannot be controlled.
#decisions
Tags gather notes that currently share a label. They are not a curriculum or a claim that the notes agree.
Evergreen note evergreen
Decisions and outcomes are different
The quality of a decision must be examined using what was knowable at the time, not only what happened afterward.
Open question growing
When should we act without certainty?
An open question about acting when waiting has a cost and complete knowledge is impossible.
Source evergreen
Outcome bias in decision evaluation
Five studies showing that knowledge of an outcome can change how people evaluate the quality of a prior decision even when the decision maker had the same information at the time.
Source evergreen
A scientific approach to entrepreneurial decision making
A randomized controlled trial in startups testing whether explicit hypotheses and rigorous market tests improve entrepreneurial decision making.
Encounter growing
A good decision with a bad outcome
A case for examining reasonable preparation, accepted risk, and an outcome that still went badly.
Method evergreen
Decision journaling
A method for recording expectations, assumptions, confidence, risk, and revision conditions before the outcome is known.